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Are VIX Futures ETPs Effective Hedges?

23 Feb 2013

Article by: Geng Deng, Craig J. McCann, Olivia Wang
Published by: The Journal of Index Investing
Date: 27 Jun 2012

“Exchange-traded products (ETPs) linked to futures contracts on the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) have grown in volume and assets under management in recent years,  in part because  of  their perceived potential to hedge against stock market losses.

“In this paper we study whether VIX-related ETPs can effectively hedge a portfolio of stocks. We find that while the VIX increases when large stock market losses occur, ETPs which track short term VIX futures indices are not effective hedges for stock portfolios because of the negative roll yield accumulated by such futures-based ETPs. ETPs which track medium term VIX futures indices suffer less from negative roll yield and thus appear somewhat better  hedges for stock portfolios. Our findings cast doubt on the potential diversification benefit from holding ETPs linked to VIX futures contracts.

“We also study the effectiveness of VIX ETPs in hedging Leveraged ETFs (LETFs) in which rebalancing effects lead to significant losses for buy-and-hold  investors during periods of high volatility. We find that VIX futures ETPs are usually not effective hedges for LETFs.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Implied volatility

 

Capturing the volatility premium through call overwriting

15 Feb 2013

Article by: Scott Maidel, Karl Sahlin
Published by: Russell Investments
Date: Dec 2010

“Systematic call overwriting strategies are valuable tools in the investment toolbox. They can provide income, attractive risk adjusted returns and the potential for a cushion during market downturns. In this paper, we explore call overwriting, the impact of strategy construction and performance across various market environments.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Trading ideas

 

Market Risk for Volatility and Variance Swaps

12 Feb 2013

Article by: Neil Chriss, William Moroko
Published by: New York University
Date: Jul 1999

“The market for volatility swaps at the time of this writing is dominated by longer dated instruments with maturities in the one to five year range (for an overview of the market, see Mehta (1999)). Consequently, risk management is largely a matter of understanding fluctuations in the mark-to-market value of the swap. Recently a number of articles focusing on the pricing and hedging of volatility swaps (see Carr and Madan (1998), Demeter , Derman, Kamal and Zou (1999)) have appeared. These articles demonstrate that it is possible to hedge the payout risk of a variance swap using a combination of a static position in options and a dynamic stock strategy, but say nothing of mark-to-market risk. This article exclusively studies mark-to-market risk. We classify the types of risks the holder of a volatility swap faces, and argue that some of these risks are modelable and while others depend exclusively on the valuation of out-of-the-money options whose values are not available in the market.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Realized volatility

 

Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston’s Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching

23 Jan 2013

Article by: Robert J. Elliott, Tak Kuen Siu, Leunglung Chan
Published by: Applied Mathematical Finance
Date: 16 Jan 2006

“A model is developed for pricing volatility derivatives, such as variance swaps and volatility swaps under a continuous‐time Markov‐modulated version of the stochastic volatility (SV) model developed by Heston. In particular, it is supposed that the parameters of this version of Heston’s SV model depend on the states of a continuous‐time observable Markov chain process, which can be interpreted as the states of an observable macroeconomic factor. The market considered is incomplete in general, and hence, there is more than one equivalent martingale pricing measure. The regime switching Esscher transform used by Elliott et al. is adopted to determine a martingale pricing measure for the valuation of variance and volatility swaps in this incomplete market. Both probabilistic and partial differential equation (PDE) approaches are considered for the valuation of volatility derivatives.”

Full article (PDF): Link

 
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Posted in Realized volatility

 
 
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